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Effective Radiative Forcing

Radiative forcing is a measure — in watts per square meter — of how much a particular thing (a gas, an aerosol, an albedo change) tips Earth's energy balance toward warming or cooling.

Scientific detail

Effective radiative forcing (ERF) quantifies the perturbation to the top-of-atmosphere net radiative flux after rapid atmospheric adjustments. IPCC AR6 catalogs ERFs for greenhouse gases, aerosols and land-surface albedo change. Modelling suggests that increasing global mean surface albedo by 0.01 corresponds to approximately −1.4 W m⁻² of ERF — comparable in magnitude to the historical CO₂ forcing.

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